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Home » Politics

Dems Do Overs

Submitted by Rick Honcho on Monday, March 10 2008No Comment

Ever so gradually, the notion of do-over primaries in Florida and Michigan is taking hold. It really is the only solution that avoids excluding two important states and preserves the DNC’s position that they have the right to set the primary schedule (and to penalize these two states which jumped the queue in violation of party rules).

Even the question of who will pay for the re-votes seems moot, as Governors Jon Corzine of New Jersey and Ed Rendell of Pennsylvania (yes, two Hillary Clinton backers) have agreed to raise the money.

So now over 350 delegates may very well be put back in play. In the first Florida primary Clinton “won” with virtually no campaigning. A look at the exit polls tells us she may be able to do it again. (Yes, the primary did not “count,” but over 935,000 people voted in it all the same.) 61 percent of these voters were 50 years or older and 78 percent of the voters were Hispanic or white. (You can be sure that Barack Obama’s comments about his willingness to meet with Raul Castro will make an appearance in Clinton ads during the run-up to the re-vote.)

In Michigan, Clinton will be looking at an electorate (according to the first primary’s exit polls) with 65 percent non-college-educated voters, 83 percent of voters making less than $100,000 per year, and 73 percent of voters who are either Hispanic or white. Now, the Michigan exits may be less representative, given the smaller turnout on the first go-around. But if Ohio tells us that Clinton does well with downscale white voters in economically distressed states, then Michigan looks promising.

That Obama lead of 100 or so delegates? It may not be so secure after all.

And again Rush nailed this on the head saying that the Clinton machine will pull Florida and Michigan out of their back pocket if they needed them.

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